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Prana: A Deep Learning Method for Adapting Polygenic Risk Scores to Diverse Ethnic Groups

  • NBCS Collaborators
  • , Hagai Levi
  • , Qin Wang
  • , Manjeet K Bolla
  • , Joe Dennis
  • , Irene L Andrulis
  • , Natalia Antonenkova
  • , Chun Hang Au
  • , Annelie Augustinsson
  • , Laura E Beane Freeman
  • , Sabine Behrens
  • , Marina Bermisheva
  • , Clara Bodelon
  • , Natalia V Bogdanova
  • , Stig E Bojesen
  • , Hermann Brenner
  • , Ian W Brock
  • , Thomas Brüning
  • , Helen Byers
  • , Nicola J Camp
  • Jose E Castelao, Ji-Yeob Choi, Wendy K Chung, Sarah V Colonna, Fergus J Couch, Kamila Czene, Mary B Daly, Peter Devilee, Thilo Dörk, A Heather Eliassen, Mikael Eriksson, D Gareth Evans, Peter A Fasching, Kierstin Faw, Manuela Gago-Dominguez, Montserrat García-Closas, Christopher A Haiman, Ute Hamann, Mikael Hartman, Vikki Ho, Peh Joo Ho, Maartje J Hooning, Reiner Hoppe, Sacha J Howell, Hidemi Ito, Motoki Iwasaki, Anna Jakubowska, Helena Jernström, Vijai Joseph, Rudolf Kaaks, Daehee Kang
  • Tel Aviv University
  • University of Cambridge
  • University of Toronto
  • N.N. Alexandrov Research Institute of Oncology and Medical Radiology
  • Hong Kong Sanatorium & Hospital
  • Lund University
  • National Cancer Institute
  • German Cancer Research Center
  • Institute of Biochemistry and Genetics-Subdivision of the Ufa Federal Research Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences
  • Department of Population Science
  • Hannover Medical School
  • Copenhagen University Hospital
  • Cancer Prevention Graduate School
  • University of Sheffield
  • Institute of the Ruhr University Bochum
  • Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust
  • University of Utah
  • Oncology and Genetics Unit
  • Seoul National University Graduate School
  • Harvard Medical School
  • Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • Department of Clinical Genetics
  • Leiden University Medical Center
  • Brigham and Women's Hospital/Harvard Medical School
  • University of Manchester
  • University Hospital Erlangen
  • Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago
  • Cancer Research UK Radiation Research Centre of Excellence at The Institute of Cancer Research
  • University of Southern California
  • National University of Singapore and National University Health System
  • Département de médicine sociale et préventive
  • Erasmus MC Cancer Institute
  • Dr Margarete Fischer-Bosch-Institute of Clinical Pharmacology
  • Aichi Cancer Center Hospital and Research Institute
  • National Cancer Center Institute for Cancer Control
  • Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin
  • Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center
  • Seoul National University College of Medicine

Research output: Working paperPreprint

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which quantify inherited susceptibility to complex traits and diseases, have emerged as valuable tools for risk stratification and precision medicine. Despite their promise, PRS developed on European cohorts often demonstrate substantially reduced predictive accuracy in non-European populations, due to differences in genetic architecture. The disproportionate representation of European ancestry cohorts in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) leads to inequitable deployment of PRS technologies across diverse populations. Here, we introduce PRANA (Polygenic Risk Adaptation via Neural-network Architecture), a deep learning framework that adapts an existing PRS developed on one population to other ancestries. Unlike methods that require large-scale GWAS in the target population, PRANA leverages pre-trained PRS models derived from European cohorts and adapts them using modestly sized cohorts from the target population. We evaluated PRANA on seven complex traits in South Asian, East Asian and Ashkenazi Jewish populations, as well as in selected smaller East Asian subpopulations where the scarcity of training data poses a particular challenge. PRANA mostly improved predictive performance of the baseline PRS models by 5%-20% in terms of effect size (β) and Nagelkerke's R2, and, in most cases, outperformed existing cross-ancestry multi-PRS approaches. These results highlight PRANA as a scalable and practical strategy to reduce disparities in genomic risk prediction and advance the equitable application of PRS in diverse populations.

Original languageEnglish
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 15 2026

Publication series

NamemedRxiv

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